Factset Research Systems

The S&P 500 historically declines an average of 18% during midterm election years due to policy uncertainty, though it typically rebounds strongly in the six months following elections with average gains of 14%. Despite this volatility, Wall Street analysts project the S&P 500 will reach 8,085 by January 2027 (16% upside from current 6,940), thou...

The S&P 500's forward P/E multiple of 21.8 is at its highest level in decades, comparable only to the dot-com bubble and COVID-19 pandemic peaks. The Federal Reserve warns that while Trump's tariffs may reduce inflation short-term, they risk higher unemployment and long-term inflation. History suggests a market correction in 2026 is likely, with ...

The S&P 500 is up 16% in 2025 despite economic uncertainty, but a Federal Reserve study suggests President Trump's tariffs will slow economic growth. The market is trading at one of its most expensive valuations in 40 years, potentially signaling a future market correction.

The S&P 500 recently dropped below its 50-day moving average, signaling potential market volatility. Historically, such drops have been followed by positive returns, but current economic uncertainties and elevated valuations may disrupt this pattern.

The S&P 500 has reached a historically high CAPE ratio of 39.5, similar to levels seen during the dot-com bubble, suggesting potential significant market decline. Despite strong earnings forecasts and Wall Street optimism, historical data indicates a potential 30% market drop by late 2028.