US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF

As Q2 begins, stocks show early gains but underlying intermarket signals remain mixed with elevated VIX levels. The S&P 500 faces key technical resistance at the 200-day moving average and 6174 Fibonacci level. Treasury yields consolidate in a symmetrical triangle pattern near 4%, while commodities remain firm with oil near $100/barrel. The dolla...

The 10-year breakeven inflation rate has surged to its highest level since October 2023, signaling mounting investor concerns over more persistent price pressures. Rising tariffs and reduced competition could lead to higher consumer prices, potentially slowing Federal Reserve policy rate cuts.

The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to increase the federal deficit and inflation, leading to a surge in Treasury yields. This could undermine the Federal Reserve's efforts to cut interest rates, as rising bond yields reverse the central bank's attempts to ease financial conditions.

Strong U.S. economic data and surging oil prices are reshaping market expectations for the Federal Reserve's November meeting, with traders now considering a potential hold on rate cuts instead of an expected 50-basis-point cut.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is once again sounding the alarm on the rising federal deficit, highlighting a growing financial strain for the U.S. government. Escalating interest costs are set to outpace defense spending for the first time. This trend is expected to keep budget deficits at or above 5.5% of GDP through 2034. In CBO’s la...